In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Takehiro Tomiyasu records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Takehiro Tomiyasu records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Takehiro Tomiyasu in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Takehiro Tomiyasu is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Tomiyasu from play
AI updated 6/26/2026, 12:56:11 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Tunisia and Japan, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Takehiro Tomiyasu records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Takehiro Tomiyasu records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Takehiro Tomiyasu in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Takehiro Tomiyasu is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Takehiro Tomiyasu recording more than 0.5 shots on target in Japan's upcoming World Cup match against Tunisia is trading at 1.50%, indicating low probability. The outcome depends heavily on Tomiyasu's playing time and performance, with historical data suggesting limited direct shooting involvement for defenders.
Tomiyasu could exceed 0.5 shots on target if Japan's offensive strategy involves frequent crosses or set-pieces where he participates as a target, or if he makes an unexpected forward run contributing to shots. A high-tempo game with Tunisia struggling defensively could also increase his shot opportunities.
As a defender, Tomiyasu typically records few shots on target, with most shots likely attributed to forwards or midfielders. If Japan dominates possession without direct involvement from Tomiyasu, or if Tunisia's defense neutralizes his involvement, the probability of him recording shots on target remains low.
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Takehiro Tomiyasu: 1+ shots on target is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 1.5% while ORYN AI estimates 1.5%.
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