Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Sudden tactical shifts by either team
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:36:50 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? is related to Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq? as both are uncertain events, Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy) is related to Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq? as both are market-specific events, Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024? is related to Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq? as both are predictions about specific outcomes, Will we find out in 2023 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? is related to Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq? as both are related to the use of AI, Will OpenAI become significantly less closed source as a result of the leadership transition? is related to Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq? as both are predictions about the future of a specific company
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Senegal and Iraq, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Senegal vs. Iraq match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?' reflects an extremely low probability (0.25%) of this specific outcome occurring in the Senegal vs. Iraq FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 26, 2026. The market's resolution is contingent on the final score at full-time, excluding extra time or penalties.
A Senegal 0-3 Iraq outcome could materialize if Iraq dominates with a strong attacking performance, capitalizing on Senegal's defensive vulnerabilities or tactical errors. Historical underdog victories in World Cup matches suggest an upset is theoretically possible, though statistically unlikely.
The bear case argues that Senegal, as a higher-ranked team (FIFA ranking likely higher than Iraq), is favored to control possession and create scoring opportunities, making a 0-3 scoreline improbable. Defensive solidity and midfield dominance by Senegal would further reduce Iraq's chances of such a decisive win.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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