Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_postponement
Calibrated 100% · raw 700% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:48:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
59%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
-7.0
Opportunity
4.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -700.0¢
Entry: 56-62
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
5 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between South Africa and Canada, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 4 or more total corners taken by both teams in the second half. If the total number of second-half corners is fewer than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". This market refers only to corners taken after the second half begins and before the end of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half corners, extra time, and penalty shootouts do not count. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for South Africa vs. Canada's 2nd half O/U 3.5 total corners is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on the expected corner count. The neutral probability reflects the uncertainty typical of early-stage World Cup fixtures with limited historical data.
A bullish scenario could emerge if both teams adopt an aggressive attacking style, with wingers and full-backs frequently pushing forward to create crossing opportunities. South Africa's historical tendency for high-pressing could lead to frequent set pieces and counterattacks, while Canada's young squad may lack defensive discipline against pacey opponents.
A bearish outcome is likely if the match becomes tactical, with both teams prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking width. Low-pressing intensity, poor crossing accuracy, or a defensive-minded game plan (e.g., parking the bus) could suppress corner counts. Weather conditions or referee tendencies might also reduce corner frequency.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.