Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:48:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,815,356
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Portugal takes 5 or more corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Portugal takes fewer than 5 corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on corners taken by Portugal, not the combined number of corners taken by both teams. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Portugal O/U 4.5 Corners' is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting a neutral expectation for Portugal's corner kicks in their upcoming World Cup match. The outcome hinges solely on Portugal's performance, not combined totals or extra time.
Portugal's attacking style, led by forwards like Cristiano Ronaldo and Bernardo Silva, historically generates high corner counts (avg. 5.2 corners per game in recent tournaments). Croatia, while defensively solid, may concede corners early in matches due to their high-pressing triggers, increasing the likelihood of Portugal exceeding 4.5 corners.
Croatia's tactical discipline under Zlatko Dalić often limits opponents to fewer corners (avg. 4.1 per game in Euro 2020). Portugal's midfield control in recent fixtures suggests they may prioritize possession over high-crossing play, reducing corner opportunities. Weather or referee tendencies could also suppress corner counts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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