Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_red_cards
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:48:01 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,587,032
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total number of corners taken by both teams within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time is odd. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total number of corners taken is even. Zero corners is considered even. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Paraguay vs. France World Cup match presents a balanced prediction market on total corners being odd or even, with no clear statistical or tactical edge favoring either outcome. Historical data and team styles suggest parity in corner distribution, contributing to the 50% probability.
A high-tempo, attacking style from both teams (e.g., Paraguay’s wing play and France’s overlapping fullbacks) could inflate corner counts, increasing the likelihood of an odd total. Recent World Cup matches average 10+ corners per game, with odd totals slightly more common (52% in 2022).
Defensive solidity or low-intensity play (e.g., tactical fouls reducing corner opportunities) may suppress total corners, favoring an even outcome. If either team prioritizes possession (e.g., France’s midfield control), the total could skew low, increasing the chance of zero (even) corners.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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