Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Panama's potential tactical counter to England's high-possession style
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:30:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
6%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Correlated with sports betting markets, e.g., Panama match outcome
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to Strait of Hormuz traffic, Crude Oil prices, and Manifold.love user metrics
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 3-9
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 6 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panama". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
England is favored to win by 6+ goals against Panama in the FIFA World Cup match on June 27 at 5:00 PM ET, with a current market probability of 5.55%. The market is highly speculative given historical performance disparities between the teams.
England's strong attacking lineup, including established Premier League forwards and midfielders, increases the likelihood of a high-scoring victory. Panama's defensive vulnerabilities and recent inconsistent performances further support England's dominance in this matchup.
Unexpected tactical adjustments, Panama's resilience, or individual brilliance from Panama's players could lead to a closer scoreline. Historical upsets in World Cup matches suggest that underdog teams occasionally defy odds, though this scenario is less likely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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