Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: England's inconsistent goal margins in recent matches
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:49:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
68%
ORYN Consensus
68%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 64-70
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panama". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
England is favored to win by 2+ goals against Panama in their FIFA World Cup match on June 27, with a market probability of 67.50%. The outcome hinges on England's offensive dominance and defensive stability.
England's strong squad depth, historical dominance over Panama, and recent high-scoring performances suggest a high likelihood of a multi-goal victory. Tactical flexibility and player fitness further support this scenario.
Panama's resilient defensive structure, potential counterattacking opportunities, and England's vulnerability to set-pieces or early goals could limit England's margin of victory. Fatigue or underestimation may also play a role.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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