In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Declan Rice records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Declan Rice records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Declan Rice in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Declan Rice is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Rice's potential inactivity due to tactical decisions or injury
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:15:41 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Panama and England, scheduled for June 27 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Declan Rice records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Declan Rice records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Declan Rice in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Declan Rice is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
11%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Declan Rice recording 2+ shots in England's upcoming World Cup match against Panama has a low probability of 9.00%, suggesting skepticism about his involvement or impact in the game. The resolution hinges on his official match statistics, with inactivity or poor performance likely to drive a 'No' outcome.
Declan Rice could exceed 1.5 shots if England dominates possession, allowing him to attempt long-range or speculative shots, or if Panama's defense is porous, enabling counter-attacking opportunities. His role as a box-to-box midfielder may also lead to higher shot attempts in open play.
Rice may record 1.5 shots or fewer if England's tactical setup limits his attacking involvement, such as playing deeper in midfield or prioritizing possession without direct shooting opportunities. Alternatively, Panama's compact defense could stifle his attempts, reducing his shot count.
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Declan Rice: 2+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 10.5% while ORYN AI estimates 9%.
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