Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen tactical adjustments by either team
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:15:12 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
76%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 and Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? (both are low-probability events, increasing the likelihood of 'under' in the former and 'yes' in the latter), New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 and Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? (both are related to uncertainty and unpredictability, aligning with the 'under' outcome in the former), New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 and Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? (both are long-term predictions, making the 'under' outcome in the former more plausible), New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 and Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? (both are high-risk, high-reward predictions, increasing the likelihood of 'under' in the former), New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 and Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score (both are football-related predictions, making the 'under' outcome in the former more plausible due to the unpredictability of football matches)
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 72-78
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New Zealand and Belgium combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for New Zealand vs. Belgium in the FIFA World Cup with an O/U of 2.5 goals strongly favors the Over outcome at 75.50%. Belgium's offensive strength, combined with New Zealand's likely defensive struggles, makes a high-scoring game plausible.
Belgium's attacking depth, including players like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne, significantly increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. New Zealand's defensive vulnerabilities and potential fatigue from prior matches further tilt the odds toward an Over outcome.
New Zealand's disciplined defensive structure and Belgium's potential tactical conservatism in high-stakes matches could suppress total goals. Historical low-scoring trends in World Cup games involving underdog teams may reduce the probability of an Over outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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