Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension to key Belgium players
AI updated 6/26/2026, 5:45:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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New Zealand's football performance
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between New Zealand and Belgium, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New Zealand vs. Belgium match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for New Zealand 1-3 Belgium in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows an 8.50% probability, indicating a low but non-negligible chance of this outcome. Belgium is heavily favored given its higher FIFA ranking and historical performance, but New Zealand’s resilience could create an upset scenario.
Belgium’s attacking prowess and depth make a 3-1 victory plausible, especially if they dominate possession and create multiple high-quality chances. New Zealand’s underdog status could lead to defensive errors or counterattacking opportunities that Belgium capitalizes on. Historical data suggests Belgium often scores multiple goals in group-stage matches.
New Zealand’s defensive structure and counterattacking style could frustrate Belgium, limiting their goal-scoring opportunities. Belgium’s recent form or squad rotation might reduce their attacking efficiency, leading to a lower-scoring draw or narrow win. External factors like weather or referee decisions could skew the result against Belgium.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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