Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion before kickoff
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:46:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
3 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Michael Olise records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Michael Olise in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Olise is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates an overwhelming 99.70% probability that Michael Olise will record more than 0.5 shots in Norway vs. France on June 26. This reflects near-certainty given Olise's role as a key attacking player and France's high possession style, which typically generates frequent shooting opportunities.
Olise is a creative winger with a high shot frequency (avg. 2.1 shots per game in club play), and France's attacking system favors wide players. Norway's defensive structure may struggle to contain him, particularly in transition. Historical data shows Olise averages 1.3 shots per 90 minutes in international matches.
Olise could be excluded from the lineup or deployed in a non-attacking role (e.g., deep midfield). Norway's compact defensive block may limit his shooting opportunities, and France's possession dominance could reduce his direct involvement in attacks. Fatigue from club commitments (e.g., Premier League season) might also impact his performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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