In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Michael Olise records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Michael Olise in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Olise is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion before kickoff
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:46:06 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Michael Olise records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Michael Olise in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Olise is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market indicates an overwhelming 99.70% probability that Michael Olise will record more than 0.5 shots in Norway vs. France on June 26. This reflects near-certainty given Olise's role as a key attacking player and France's high possession style, which typically generates frequent shooting opportunities.
Olise is a creative winger with a high shot frequency (avg. 2.1 shots per game in club play), and France's attacking system favors wide players. Norway's defensive structure may struggle to contain him, particularly in transition. Historical data shows Olise averages 1.3 shots per 90 minutes in international matches.
Olise could be excluded from the lineup or deployed in a non-attacking role (e.g., deep midfield). Norway's compact defensive block may limit his shooting opportunities, and France's possession dominance could reduce his direct involvement in attacks. Fatigue from club commitments (e.g., Premier League season) might also impact his performance.
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Michael Olise: 1+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 99.8% while ORYN AI estimates 99.7%.
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