Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting playtime
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:15:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
59%
ORYN Consensus
59%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Graph Relationships
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Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 56-62
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jørgen Strand Larsen records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Jørgen Strand Larsen records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Jørgen Strand Larsen in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Jørgen Strand Larsen is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 58.5% probability that Jørgen Strand Larsen will record more than 1.5 shots in Norway's upcoming FIFA World Cup match against France on June 26. This reflects moderate confidence in his offensive contribution, though the outcome hinges on tactical and situational factors.
Strand Larsen could outperform expectations if Norway adopts an aggressive attacking formation, with France potentially conceding space due to their high-pressing style. His physical presence and aerial ability may lead to multiple shot attempts, especially if he plays as a lone striker or in a dual-striker system.
A defensive-minded Norway setup or France's structured midfield could limit Strand Larsen's opportunities, reducing his shot count. Injuries, tactical substitutions, or France's defensive solidity (e.g., Varane, Upamecano) may further suppress his involvement in the attack.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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