Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension of key players
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:31:55 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
44%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,310,718
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 40-46
—
Resolution
22h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Netherlands wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 43.50% probability that Netherlands will win their game on June 29, 2026, suggesting a competitive but not dominant expectation. The outcome is highly dependent on the team's performance in a single match, with no margin for error due to the 90-minute resolution criteria.
Netherlands could secure a victory if they leverage strong squad depth, tactical adaptability, and key player form leading up to the match. Historical performance in similar fixtures and favorable pre-tournament preparation may boost confidence in their chances.
Netherlands faces significant risk if injuries, fatigue, or tactical mismatches hinder their performance, especially against a potentially strong opponent. External factors like referee decisions or unexpected opponent strategies could also sway the outcome negatively.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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