Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or late substitution limiting Huerta's playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 3200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 12:00:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
33%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-32.0
Opportunity
24.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,208,293
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3200.0¢
Entry: 30-36
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if César Huerta records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for César Huerta scoring 2+ goals in the Mexico vs. Ecuador FIFA World Cup match has a low probability (0.55%) due to historical goal-scoring trends and player roles. The outcome hinges on tactical decisions, opponent defense, and Huerta's in-game involvement.
Huerta could score 2+ goals if Mexico adopts an aggressive attacking formation, Ecuador's defense underperforms against counterattacks, and Huerta is deployed as a primary striker or winger with high shooting frequency. A high-scoring game would also increase his chances.
Huerta is unlikely to score 2+ goals if Mexico prioritizes possession over direct attacks, Ecuador's defense remains disciplined, or Huerta is not selected as a starter or plays a deeper midfield role. Low match tempo or defensive tactics reduce goal-scoring opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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