Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late match adjustments by either team
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 3:47:01 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico takes 3 or more corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Mexico takes fewer than 3 corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on corners taken by Mexico, not the combined number of corners taken by both teams. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Mexico vs. Ecuador (Mexico O/U 2.5 Corners) is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether Mexico will take 3 or more corners in the match. The neutral probability reflects balanced expectations based on team styles and historical tendencies.
Mexico's attacking style and high pressing could lead to frequent set-pieces, increasing their corner count. Ecuador's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in wide areas, may force them into conceding corners, supporting the 'Over' outcome.
Ecuador's disciplined defensive structure and counter-attacking approach may limit Mexico's opportunities to win corners. Mexico's recent form in similar matches suggests a lower corner tally, favoring the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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