Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:00:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
14%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score and Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina are both 'score-based' markets, with similar market dynamics
correlates · strength 60%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy) and Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina both involve 'uncertainty' and 'unpredictability'
correlates · strength 60%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? and Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina share similar 'high-uncertainty' characteristics
correlates · strength 60%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? is correlated with Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina, both are low-probability, high-reward events
correlates · strength 60%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? and Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 3 Argentina both have low probability, high uncertainty, and are influenced by external factors
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 11-16
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Jordan and Argentina, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jordan vs. Argentina match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jordan 0-3 Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match reflects a low-probability outcome (13.50%), indicating skepticism about Argentina's dominant victory. Historical and contextual factors suggest Argentina's superior strength, but Jordan's potential resilience could influence the result.
Argentina's overwhelming favoritism stems from their elite squad depth, recent tournament performances, and Jordan's defensive vulnerabilities. A 3-0 scoreline is plausible given Argentina's attacking firepower (e.g., Messi, Julián Álvarez) and Jordan's lack of high-level international experience in such high-stakes matches.
Jordan's disciplined defensive structure and counterattacking prowess could stifle Argentina's offense, leading to a lower-scoring or even goalless draw. External factors like fatigue, weather conditions, or referee decisions may also disrupt Argentina's expected dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
