Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Last-minute tactical changes by Ghana's coach
Calibrated 100% · raw 4795% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:30:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
-48.0
Opportunity
47.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4795.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
90 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ghana and Panama, scheduled for June 17 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brandon Thomas-Asante records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Brandon Thomas-Asante records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Brandon Thomas-Asante in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Brandon Thomas-Asante is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Brandon Thomas-Asante recording 1+ shots in the Ghana vs. Panama World Cup match on June 17 is highly unlikely (2%) due to his low probability of playing or starting, compounded by Ghana's attacking depth and defensive structure reducing his shot opportunities.
Brandon Thomas-Asante starts the match and capitalizes on Ghana's high-possession style, creating 1+ shot attempts due to Panama's defensive lapses or counterattacks, particularly if Ghana dominates wide areas where he operates.
Brandon Thomas-Asante is unused or inactive, or Ghana's tactical setup limits his involvement, with Panama's defensive organization preventing clear-cut chances, resulting in 0 shots or fewer.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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