Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Nmecha's playing time
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:00:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Nmecha records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Felix Nmecha scoring 2+ goals in the Germany vs. Paraguay World Cup match has a low probability of 1.30%, reflecting the player's historical goal-scoring record and the competitive context of the fixture. The outcome hinges on Nmecha's form, team tactics, and Paraguay's defensive resilience.
Nmecha has shown strong form in recent matches, with a propensity for scoring in high-pressure situations. If Germany dominates possession and Paraguay's defense struggles with counterattacks, Nmecha could capitalize on multiple chances, particularly if deployed in an attacking midfield or forward role.
Nmecha's career goal-scoring rate is modest, and Paraguay's defensive record in the tournament suggests they are unlikely to concede multiple goals. Additionally, if Nmecha is not a starter or plays in a deeper midfield position, his chances of scoring 2+ goals diminish significantly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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