Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential for low-scoring, tactical match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:19:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,683,767
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 4 or more total corners taken by both teams in the second half. If the total number of second-half corners is fewer than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". This market refers only to corners taken after the second half begins and before the end of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half corners, extra time, and penalty shootouts do not count. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners' is evenly split at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total corners in the second half will exceed or fall below 3.5. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, team strategies, and referee tendencies.
A bullish outcome (Over 3.5) is supported by Spain's possession-based style, which often generates high-pressure attacks leading to corner kicks. Austria's defensive vulnerabilities and potential for counterattacks could further inflate the corner count, particularly in the second half.
A bearish outcome (Under 3.5) is plausible if both teams adopt a low-risk, defensive approach to secure a draw or narrow win. Tight tactical discipline, poor attacking execution, or referee decisions favoring fewer interruptions could suppress the corner tally.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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