Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: game_postponement
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:15:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 46-52
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
15 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that takes the first corner in the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If no corner is taken within that timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Egypt vs. IR Iran's first corner in their FIFA World Cup match shows a near-even split, with a slight edge to IR Iran at 48%. The outcome hinges on early game dynamics, as no corner in 90+ minutes triggers a 50-50 resolution.
IR Iran is favored due to their stronger historical corner statistics and more aggressive playing style in recent matches, which increases the likelihood of winning the first corner. Their midfield dominance and set-piece efficiency could also play a role in securing early corners.
Egypt's defensive structure and counter-attacking approach may reduce early corner opportunities for either team, leading to a 50-50 resolution if no corner is taken within 90 minutes. Their recent form suggests a more cautious start, potentially delaying corner wins.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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