Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions to key players before the match
AI updated 6/26/2026, 4:52:04 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
14%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? is related to Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? through the theme of 'Unpredictable Outcomes', Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy) is related to Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? through the theme of 'Economic Uncertainty', Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024? is related to Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? through the theme of 'Unlikely Leadership', Will we find out in 2023 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? is related to Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? through the theme of 'High-Stakes Information', Will OpenAI become significantly less closed source as a result of the leadership transition? is related to Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran? through the theme of 'Surprising Consequences
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 11-16
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Egypt vs. IR Iran match originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 0 IR Iran?' at 13.50% implies a low but non-trivial probability of this specific outcome in the Egypt vs. IR Iran FIFA World Cup match. Historical head-to-head data and team strengths suggest this score is plausible but not the most likely.
Egypt's attacking prowess, particularly Mohamed Salah's form, could break through Iran's defense, leading to a 1-0 victory. Iran's inconsistent defensive record in recent tournaments increases the likelihood of a single-goal margin. A narrow win aligns with Egypt's recent tactical approach under their current manager.
Iran's defensive organization and counter-attacking style may frustrate Egypt, resulting in a 0-0 draw or a loss. Egypt's defensive vulnerabilities, especially in set-piece situations, could be exploited by Iran's physical forward line. Historical data shows Iran has been resilient in tight matches, reducing the chance of a 1-0 win for Egypt.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.