Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential tactical adjustments by either team mid-match
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:01:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
36%
ORYN Consensus
37%
Signal Score
+1.5
Opportunity
1.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 150.0¢
Entry: 32-38
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Colombia takes 5 or more corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Colombia takes fewer than 5 corners within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on corners taken by Colombia, not the combined number of corners taken by both teams. Markets on number of corners refer to corners taken, not corners awarded. Corners awarded but not taken will not count. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Colombia vs. Portugal with an Over/Under of 4.5 corners for Colombia shows a bearish sentiment, with a 37% probability favoring the 'Under' outcome. This suggests that prediction markets expect Colombia to take fewer than 5 corners in the match.
Colombia’s attacking style under Néstor Lorenzo may lead to higher possession and more corner kicks, especially against Portugal’s defense which can be vulnerable to wide play. Historical data shows Colombia averages 5.3 corners per game in recent tournaments, supporting the 'Over' case.
Portugal’s disciplined defensive structure under Roberto Martínez may limit Colombia’s ability to generate corners, particularly if they prioritize compactness. Colombia’s recent form shows a slight decline in corner creation, averaging 4.1 per game in friendlies this year.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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