Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key attacking players
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:30:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Geopolitical stability (Strait of Hormuz) may influence global oil prices, affecting economies like Colombia and Ghana, thereby indirectly impacting their sports markets.
correlates · strength 60%
None directly, as Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 is a sports market, while the others are geopolitical, energy, or tech-related.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,329,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Colombia and Ghana combine to score 8 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Colombia vs. Ghana FIFA World Cup game (O/U 7.5 goals) shows a low probability (1.05%) of the combined score exceeding 7.5 goals. Historical head-to-head and recent form suggest a low-scoring encounter is more likely.
Colombia and Ghana could produce a high-scoring game if both teams prioritize attacking play, with Ghana's counter-attacking style potentially combining with Colombia's offensive pressure to exceed 7.5 goals. Recent high-scoring World Cup matches (e.g., Spain vs. Costa Rica in 2022) also support an over scenario.
Defensive solidity from either team, tactical conservatism, or unfavorable weather conditions (e.g., heavy rain) could suppress goal-scoring, making an under outcome more likely. Colombia has struggled to score in recent matches, while Ghana's defense has been relatively resilient.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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