Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather conditions or pitch quality affecting play style
AI updated 6/27/2026, 9:00:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Potential low correlation with global event markets, but not significant enough to impact 'DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5'
correlates · strength 60%
Low correlation with Strait of Hormuz traffic and crude oil markets, as they are unrelated to sports
correlates · strength 60%
No direct relationship with Manifold.love or Panama match, as they are unrelated markets
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between DR Congo and Uzbekistan, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if DR Congo and Uzbekistan combine to score 3 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a low probability (9%) of the DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan match exceeding 2.5 goals in the first half, indicating a strong expectation of a low-scoring encounter. Historical data and team strengths support this assessment, with both teams known for defensive solidity.
DR Congo's attacking midfielders could exploit Uzbekistan's defensive frailties, leading to a flurry of first-half goals. A high-pressing system by either team might force turnovers and create clear chances. Uzbekistan's recent defensive records are inconsistent, raising the potential for defensive lapses.
Both teams prioritize defensive organization, with DR Congo's striker lacking form and Uzbekistan's midfield controlling tempo effectively. Low-risk, possession-based play could stifle goal-scoring opportunities. Recent head-to-head matches have been tightly contested with few goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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