Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Last-minute tactical changes by Brazil's coach
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:15:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
3.0
Graph Relationships
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Unrelated to energy commodity prices (Crude Oil)
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,239,876
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rayan records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Rayan records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Rayan in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Rayan is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Rayan recording 1+ assists in the Brazil vs. Japan FIFA World Cup match on June 29 has an 11.5% probability, indicating low confidence in this outcome. The resolution depends on official match statistics, with specific constraints on player participation and game duration.
Rayan's form and recent performances suggest he has a 20%+ chance of recording multiple assists in a high-tempo match against Japan. Brazil's attacking prowess and Rayan's role in set-piece delivery could favor this outcome.
Rayan may be excluded from the starting lineup or substituted early, reducing his assist opportunities. Japan's defensive structure could limit Brazil's chances to create scoring opportunities, lowering the likelihood of assists.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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