Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Early substitution of Kevin De Bruyne due to injury or tactical reasons
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:01:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
No direct or indirect relationship themes exist between 'Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots' and the provided markets. The markets cover disparate domains including sports, geopolitics, technology, and commodities, with no discernible causal or correlational links.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin De Bruyne records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Kevin De Bruyne records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Kevin De Bruyne in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Kevin De Bruyne is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market assesses the probability of Kevin De Bruyne recording at least one shot in the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Belgium and Senegal. The current market probability stands at 50.00%, indicating an even split in expectations for this outcome. The resolution hinges on official match statistics for shots credited to De Bruyne within regular play and stoppage time.
De Bruyne is a key attacking midfielder for Belgium, known for his long-range shooting and ability to get into advanced positions. Belgium's offensive strategy often involves him taking shots from outside the box or making runs into the penalty area. Against Senegal, who might play a more defensive style, De Bruyne could be relied upon to create and take chances.
De Bruyne might be deployed in a deeper playmaking role, prioritizing assists and ball distribution over taking shots himself. If Belgium dominates possession and creates numerous chances, other forwards might be favored to take shots. Additionally, a strong defensive performance from Senegal could limit De Bruyne's opportunities to get into shooting positions.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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