In the upcoming Lower bracket round 2 match between Yellow Submarine and MODUS in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 9:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 41 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill.
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:07:07 PM
In the upcoming Lower bracket round 2 match between Yellow Submarine and MODUS in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 9:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 41 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for total kills in Game 1 of the Yellow Submarine vs. MODUS match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to match volatility and potential for cancellation or delays. The 50-50 resolution condition for non-completion or delay significantly skews perceived risk.
A bullish outcome (41+ kills) could materialize if both teams prioritize aggressive early-game strategies, leading to frequent team fights. High kill counts are common in close qualifier matches where teams contest objectives fiercely. If the meta favors high-tempo gameplay (e.g., aggressive mid or offlane picks), total kills may exceed 40.5.
A bearish outcome (≤40 kills) may occur if the match features passive or defensive drafting, with teams avoiding early skirmishes to secure late-game advantages. Technical issues, player fatigue, or strategic slowdowns (e.g., stacking camps) could also suppress kill counts. Low-kill games are more likely in high-stakes qualifiers where teams play cautiously.
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Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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