Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or indefinite delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 850% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:31:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
42%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+8.5
Opportunity
5.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 850.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Team AION in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Nemiga Gaming and Team AION play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' in the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Team AION is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting uncertainty in the series outcome. The resolution hinges on whether 3 or more games are played, with multiple edge cases complicating simple resolution.
Nemiga Gaming and Team AION may play a full best-of-five series due to balanced skill levels or strategic adjustments, leading to a higher game total. Historically, European Pro League matches often reach 3+ games, supporting an 'Over' resolution. Forfeits or walkovers could also artificially inflate the game count if not properly accounted for.
The series may conclude in fewer than 3 games if one team dominates early, leading to a quick 2-0 or 2-1 result. Technical issues, player disputes, or match scheduling conflicts could shorten the series. If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, the market resolves to 50-50, reducing the likelihood of a clear 'Over' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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