In the upcoming Lower bracket round 2 match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 6:20AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 56 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill.
Key risk: match cancellation or delay due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:45:49 PM
In the upcoming Lower bracket round 2 match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 6:20AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 56 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In Dota 2, a "kill" for markets like team total kills, kill handicap, and interval kills is counted when an enemy hero dies and the game awards a hero kill event to the opposing team's score, which is the number shown on the in-game scoreboard and tracked in scoreboard feeds as team kills. In practical terms, this includes any enemy hero death that increments a team's kill score, regardless of who got the last hit, including situations where the victim dies to creeps, a tower, or neutrals as long as the kill is still credited to the enemy team. It does not include denies, such as killing your own allied units, and it also does not include building or objective destructions like towers, barracks, or Roshan, since those are tracked separately from kills. Assists also do not count as kills, because they are recorded as a separate player stat and multiple players can assist on a single kill.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for 'Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1' between Natus Vincere and MOUZ is overwhelmingly skewed toward 'Over' with a 99.95% probability, indicating near-certainty of achieving 56 or more kills in Game 1. The resolution conditions are highly specific, with a 50-50 outcome only triggered by match cancellation, delay, or incomplete/forfeited gameplay.
Natus Vincere and MOUZ are historically high-level teams with aggressive playstyles, likely leading to a high-paced Game 1 with frequent team fights and objective-based engagements. Dota 2 matches at this tier often exceed 55 kills due to sustained combat, high kill participation rates, and minimal early-game dominance that prolongs the game.
A bear case would involve one team securing an early advantage, leading to a quick victory (e.g., a 2-0 or 2-1 series) with fewer total kills in Game 1. Alternatively, a defensive or passive playstyle could reduce the number of team fights, resulting in a lower kill count. External factors like technical issues or player unavailability might also truncate the game.
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Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 100% while ORYN AI estimates 100%.
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