Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delay or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:00:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
No correlation with geopolitical or commodity markets
correlates · strength 60%
Esports market isolated from global events
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,207,627
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and Aurora in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Level UP. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a highly balanced prediction between Level UP and Aurora for Game 1 of their Dota 2 match in the Esports World Cup Group B. The 50% probability indicates no clear favorite based on available data or recent performance trends.
Level UP could win Game 1 due to potential advantages in drafting, recent form, or strategic innovations. If Level UP's players are peaking in performance or have favorable matchups against Aurora's roster, this could tilt the odds in their favor.
Aurora may secure Game 1 by leveraging stronger team synergy, superior late-game execution, or Level UP's potential vulnerabilities. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategies could also favor Aurora.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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