Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or indefinite delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:00:59 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,075,791
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
3h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Hive and Spirit Academy in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for June 28 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Hive and Spirit Academy play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' in the Dota 2 match between Hive and Spirit Academy is evenly split, indicating high uncertainty about the series length. The resolution hinges on whether the match concludes in 3+ games or fewer.
A bullish outcome (Over 2.5 games) is plausible if the match is closely contested, requiring a full best-of-5 series to determine a winner. High skill parity or strategic depth could prolong the series.
A bearish outcome (Under 2.5 games) is possible if one team dominates, leading to a 2-0 or 2-1 series conclusion. Early forfeits, walkovers, or defaults could also skew results toward fewer games.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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