Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match disruption (forfeit, disqualification, or cancellation)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:33:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Yawara Esports and Red Feet in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 3:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports wins Map 1 by 7 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Yawara Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds Red Feet's by 7 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Red Feet". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 1 Rounds Handicap between Yawara Esports (-6.5) and Red Feet (+6.5) is evenly split, reflecting equal probability for either outcome. The resolution hinges on a 7+ round differential in favor of Yawara Esports to resolve as a win for them.
Yawara Esports could dominate Map 1 with a strong early start, capitalizing on map control and team coordination to secure a 7+ round lead. If Red Feet struggles with defensive setups or misplays key rounds, Yawara's aggressive playstyle may push them over the threshold.
Red Feet may counter Yawara's strategies effectively, leading to a close match where Yawara fails to achieve the required 7+ round differential. Overtime scenarios or Red Feet's strong comeback potential could prevent Yawara from meeting the handicap condition.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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