Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_delay_or_cancellation_risk
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:19:30 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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correlates · strength 60%
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correlates · strength 60%
Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024? is related to Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs as both are related to the theme of 'Competitive Esports' and 'Unconventional Market Analysis', Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy) is related as both are related to the theme of 'Global Economic Uncertainty and Unconventional Market Analysis', Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024? is related as both are related to the theme of 'Artificial Intelligence and Unconventional Market Analysis', Will we find out in 2023 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages? is related as both are related to the theme of 'Global Politics and Unconventional Market Analysis', Will OpenAI become significantly less closed source as a result of the leadership transition? is related as both are related to the theme of 'Artificial Intelligence and Unconventional Market Analysis
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against Inner Circle Esports. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match against Walczaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) Super DraculaN Playoffs shows Walczaki at a slight underdog position with 46.50% probability, indicating a competitive matchup. Resolution hinges on official HLTV.org results or credible reporting within a strict 2-hour window post-event.
Walczaki could win due to strong recent form, strategic adaptability, or Inner Circle's potential weaknesses in BO3 series. A victory would validate their consistency in high-stakes playoffs and boost their regional reputation.
Inner Circle Esports may prevail due to superior individual player performance, tactical innovations, or Walczaki's potential fatigue from prior matches. A loss could signal inconsistency for Walczaki in critical playoff scenarios.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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