Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delays or cancellations due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:15:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
41%
ORYN Consensus
41%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
The outcome of Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner may be affected by team morale, which can be compared to the morale-boosting effect of a successful outcome in the related markets, such as the US debt ceiling being raised by the end of June 2023, or Sam Altman becoming the CEO of OpenAI on January 1st 2024, as a successful outcome in these markets could lead to increased morale and confidence in the teams involved.
correlates · strength 60%
Walczaki's performance in Counter-Strike may be influenced by team dynamics, which can be linked to the success of Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024?, as both involve high-stakes competition and strategy.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
The success of Walczaki in Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner may be influenced by the team's ability to adapt to new situations, which can be compared to the adaptability required to find out in 2023 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, or OpenAI becoming significantly less closed source as a result of the leadership transition, as all these markets require adaptability and quick thinking.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
11
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Walczaki and Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win Map 2 against Inner Circle Esports. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win Map 2 against Walczaki. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 40.5% probability of Walczaki winning Map 2 against Inner Circle Esports in the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match. The outcome is highly dependent on in-game performance and meta-advantages during the scheduled match.
Walczaki may exploit Inner Circle Esports' weaknesses in map control or execute strategies, leveraging their recent form or player synergies to secure a victory. A strong performance from star players could tilt the odds in their favor.
Inner Circle Esports could dominate with superior team coordination, map-specific strategies, or counter-picks, especially if Walczaki struggles with early-round pressure or in-game economy management. Historical matchups may favor Inner Circle.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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