Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: UNO MILLE's upset potential in Bo3/Bo5 formats
Calibrated 100% · raw 9595% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:00:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
96%
Signal Score
+96.0
Opportunity
91.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9595.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between UNO MILLE and ShindeN in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN wins 2 or more maps than UNO MILLE in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UNO MILLE". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market heavily favors ShindeN (-1.5) to win the Counter-Strike Grand Final match by at least 2 maps, given the extreme odds of 99.95%. Historical performance and recent form suggest ShindeN is the dominant team in this matchup.
ShindeN’s strong team synergy, individual skill of top players, and recent tournament success (e.g., Thunderpick World Championship South American Series) indicate a high probability of winning by 2+ maps. Their map control and clutch performances in high-pressure scenarios further support this outcome.
UNO MILLE’s resilience and ability to pull off upsets in Bo3/Bo5 series (e.g., past wins against ShindeN) could defy the handicap. External factors like player fatigue, unexpected strategies, or in-game conditions (e.g., map pool variance) may also disrupt ShindeN’s dominance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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