Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential for match delays or cancellations due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:16:00 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,443
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
0h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between ShindeN and largadosypelados in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN wins 2 or more maps than largadosypelados in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "largadosypelados". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors ShindeN (-1.5) to win the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match against largadosypelados, with a 99.95% probability. This reflects a near-certain expectation of ShindeN outperforming by at least two maps.
ShindeN's dominance in recent form, strategic depth, and strong team synergy suggest they are highly likely to secure the required two-map advantage. The market's near-unanimous confidence implies confidence in ShindeN's ability to control the match tempo and secure critical rounds.
While unlikely, a major upset could occur if largadosypelados exploits ShindeN's weaknesses, such as inconsistent map control or individual player underperformance. External factors like technical issues or unexpected player absences could also disrupt ShindeN's momentum.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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