Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player substitutions or performance drops for PARIVISION
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:30:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
63%
ORYN Consensus
62%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Graph Relationships
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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 60-66
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
28 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between PARIVISION and Alliance in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors PARIVISION (62% probability) in their XSE Pro League Group Stage BO1 match against Alliance. The odds reflect PARIVISION's historical performance and current form, though Alliance's potential for upsets introduces uncertainty.
PARIVISION is favored due to their strong recent performance in the XSE Pro League, with a higher win rate against Alliance in head-to-head matches. Their map control and team synergy suggest a higher likelihood of securing the win in this BO1 format.
Alliance could pull off an upset given their resilience in close matches and PARIVISION's occasional inconsistency. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategy shifts may also favor Alliance, increasing the probability of an Alliance victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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