Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player absences due to injury, visa issues, or personal reasons
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:47:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between paiN Academy and Guara Esports in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN Academy" if paiN Academy wins 2 or more maps than Guara Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Guara Esports". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for paiN Academy (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5) in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage CS:GO match is evenly split, reflecting no clear favorite. The handicap implies a slight preference for paiN Academy to win by at least 2 maps, but the 50% probability suggests high uncertainty or balanced competition.
paiN Academy's bull case hinges on their historical performance in South American CS:GO, where they have demonstrated consistency against regional rivals. If their star players are in peak form and Guara Esports struggles with map control or team coordination, paiN could secure a 2-0 or 2-1 victory, meeting the handicap requirement.
Guara Esports' bear case centers on paiN Academy's potential vulnerabilities, such as inconsistent form or internal team issues. If Guara's defensive strategies or aggressive plays disrupt paiN's momentum, they could limit paiN to a single map win or force a tie, resulting in a Guara Esports resolution under the handicap.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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