Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or tie
Calibrated 100% · raw 1000% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:45:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
17%
ORYN Consensus
27%
Signal Score
+10.0
Opportunity
8.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1000.0¢
Entry: 14-20
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between paiN Academy and Blitzkrieg in the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 29 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if paiN Academy and Blitzkrieg play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' in the paiN Academy vs. Blitzkrieg Counter-Strike match is currently trading at 26.50%, indicating a low probability of 3 or more maps being played. The resolution hinges on match completion and map count, with strict criteria for forfeits and delays.
A bullish outcome (Over 2.5 maps) could materialize if both teams engage in a closely contested series, leading to a full 3-map match or more. High player engagement, strategic depth, or unexpected comebacks could drive the total above the threshold.
A bearish outcome (Under 2.5 maps) is more likely given the current low probability. The match could end in fewer than 3 maps due to a dominant team sweeping the series, technical issues, or early forfeits. Time constraints or match delays may also contribute.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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