Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:00:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
60%
ORYN Consensus
62%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.6
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy is likely to win Map 2, as a successful outcome is often associated with Manifold.love reaching 1000 daily active users, US debt ceiling raise, Sam Altman being CEO of OpenAI, and a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, as these events are perceived as positive and successful, thus influencing the outcome of the gaming event.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 57-63
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
3 points
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Inner Circle Academy and SAW in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D, initially scheduled for June 27 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win Map 2 against SAW. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win Map 2 against Inner Circle Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Inner Circle Academy holds a 62% probability of winning Map 2 against SAW in the CS:GO European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D. The match is scheduled for June 27 at 4:00AM ET, with resolution based on official HLTV.org results or credible reporting if unavailable.
Inner Circle Academy is favored due to their recent form and strategic advantages in map control and team synergy. A strong early-round performance and effective use of utility could secure their victory. Historical data shows Inner Circle Academy outperforming SAW in similar matchups.
SAW poses a threat with their aggressive playstyle and ability to exploit Inner Circle Academy's potential weaknesses in late-round scenarios. If SAW capitalizes on early fragility or inconsistent utility usage, they could overturn the odds. Past encounters suggest SAW's resilience in high-pressure situations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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