Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_abandonment_due_to_weather
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:17:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Durham and Lancashire Thunder scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Durham will be considered correct if Durham is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Lancashire Thunder.The outcome corresponding to Lancashire Thunder will be considered correct if Lancashire Thunder is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Durham. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Most Sixes - Lancashire Thunder' in the T20 Blast Women's match against Durham is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability for either team to hit more sixes or a draw. The outcome hinges on batting performance, pitch conditions, and weather impacts on the match.
Lancashire Thunder's bull case assumes a strong batting lineup with aggressive power hitters like Emma Lamb or Georgie Boyce, who have proven six-hitting capabilities in T20 formats. A favorable pitch for stroke play or a home advantage at Old Trafford could further boost their sixes tally.
Durham's bear case posits that their bowling attack, featuring spinners or pace bowlers with tight lengths, could restrict Lancashire Thunder's six-hitting opportunities. Additionally, overcast conditions or a slow pitch may suppress scoring, favoring Durham's more compact batting approach.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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