Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to weather
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:16:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Sussex and Essex scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sussex will be considered correct if Sussex is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Essex.The outcome corresponding to Essex will be considered correct if Essex is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sussex. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the T20 Blast: Sussex vs Essex - Most Sixes Draw is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation between the two teams. The outcome is highly contingent on match conditions, player performance, and weather impact.
Sussex could dominate the sixes count if their top-order batsmen (e.g., Phil Salt or Tom Alsop) are in form and target Essex's weaker bowling options, particularly if the pitch is flat and true. Essex's reliance on overseas players or injury-prone bowlers may further tilt the odds in Sussex's favor.
Essex may outperform Sussex in sixes if their aggressive middle-order batsmen (e.g., Dan Lawrence or Adam Rossington) capitalize on powerplay and death overs, especially against Sussex's less experienced pace attack. Poor weather conditions (e.g., rain delays) could shorten the match, reducing sixes opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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