Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unforeseen weather disruptions
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:16:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,492,307
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
10d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Northamptonshire and Somerset scheduled for 2026-07-05 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Somerset.The outcome corresponding to Somerset will be considered correct if Somerset is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Northamptonshire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market on Northamptonshire winning the 'Most Sixes' in the T20 Blast match against Somerset is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite in a high-variance T20 format where six-hitting prowess often dictates outcomes. Historical T20 data suggests both teams have comparable power-hitting capabilities, but venue conditions and toss dynamics could sway results.
Northamptonshire's bull case hinges on their recent T20 form, featuring explosive batters like Ricardo Vasconcelos or Saif Zaib who have demonstrated six-hitting consistency in domestic T20 leagues. A home advantage (if playing at Northampton) could amplify their powerplay dominance, while Somerset's reliance on overseas pacers (e.g., overseas bowlers) might struggle to contain their aggressive strokeplay.
Somerset's bear case centers on their balanced bowling attack, particularly spinners like Roelof van der Merwe, who have historically restricted sixes in T20s by exploiting slow surfaces. Northamptonshire's middle-order vulnerability to spin could lead to collapses, reducing their six-hitting potential. Additionally, Somerset's overseas batting firepower (e.g., Devon Conway) may outperform Northamptonshire's top order in pressure situations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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