Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable T20 match dynamics (e.g., dew, toss impact)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:16:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
1 points
This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Surrey scheduled for 2026-07-04 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Surrey.The outcome corresponding to Surrey will be considered correct if Surrey is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Gloucestershire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The T20 Blast match between Gloucestershire and Surrey on 2026-07-04 has an even probability (50%) for Surrey to hit more sixes, reflecting balanced expectations. The outcome hinges on team batting strengths, pitch conditions, and match context in a high-scoring T20 format.
Surrey boasts a strong batting lineup with power hitters like Jason Roy and Will Jacks, who frequently clear the boundary in T20 matches. Gloucestershire's pace bowling may struggle to contain Surrey's aggressive stroke play, especially on a flat pitch favoring big hits. Surrey's recent T20 form and home advantage (if applicable) further support their sixes dominance.
Gloucestershire's spinners, such as Benny Howell, could exploit a slow, turning pitch to restrict Surrey's six-hitting opportunities. Gloucestershire's top order, including Ian Cockbain, has shown resilience in T20s, potentially keeping the scoreboard ticking. Poor weather conditions (e.g., rain-affected match) might shorten play, reducing total sixes and favoring Gloucestershire's balanced approach.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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