Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: late_match_conditions
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:33:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
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Score first in sports event (AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori) is independent of global events
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to geopolitical events (Strait of Hormuz, Putin out as President of Russia)
correlates · strength 60%
Unrelated to tech startup performance (Manifold.love daily active users)
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Unrelated to commodity prices (Crude Oil hit $60)
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,446,153
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming match between AC Virtus and SK Dila Gori, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Virtus" if AC Virtus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Dila Gori" if SK Dila Gori are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for AC Virtus scoring first against SK Dila Gori stands at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear favorite. The outcome hinges on in-game dynamics within the first 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties.
AC Virtus may capitalize on early offensive pressure, exploiting SK Dila Gori's defensive vulnerabilities or set-piece weaknesses. A strong home advantage or tactical preparation could favor Virtus's chances of scoring first.
SK Dila Gori's defensive structure or counter-attacking style may neutralize AC Virtus's initial threats, reducing the likelihood of an early goal. Poor Virtus form or injuries could further diminish their scoring prospects.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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