Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation of the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:31:53 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
19%
Signal Score
+9.0
Opportunity
6.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Inverse correlation with global economic markets, e.g. Crude Oil (CL) prices, as sports betting can be counter-cyclical to economic trends
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No direct relationship with geopolitical events like Strait of Hormuz traffic or Putin's presidency, or tech startup metrics like Manifold.love daily active users
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correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,091,300
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 900.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Cuiabá EC and América FC, scheduled for July 2 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if América FC score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If América FC score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on América FC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for América FC's goals in their Série B match against Cuiabá EC on July 2 has a low probability (18.5%) of América FC scoring 2 or more goals. The outcome hinges solely on América FC's performance, excluding extra time or penalties.
América FC may exceed expectations if they field a strong offensive lineup or exploit defensive weaknesses in Cuiabá EC. A recent form showing consistent attacking play could support the 'Over' outcome.
América FC's defensive record or Cuiabá EC's home advantage may suppress América FC's scoring, leading to fewer than 2 goals. Historical head-to-head data or fatigue could also favor the 'Under' outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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