Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to a key FK Beograd player before or during the match
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:34:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,452,467
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
11d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 15, 2026 If FK Beograd wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for FK Beograd leading at halftime is currently balanced at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether FK Beograd will be ahead within the first 45 minutes of play. The resolution depends on in-game dynamics and early performance metrics.
FK Beograd may lead at halftime due to strong offensive tactics, key player form, or opponent weaknesses exploited early in the match. Historical data shows FK Beograd often performs well in the first half, especially against mid-table teams.
FK Beograd could trail at halftime if the opponent dominates possession, scores first, or if FK Beograd suffers early defensive lapses or disciplinary issues. Poor weather conditions or referee decisions may also disrupt their early game plan.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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