Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or withdrawal of either player pre-match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:30:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 4 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 4 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 4 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market overwhelmingly favors the 'Under' outcome for Wu vs. Djokovic's Set 4 Games O/U 9.5, with a 99.95% probability, indicating near-certainty that the total games in the fourth set will not reach 10. This reflects Djokovic's dominance and Wu's lower tier in ATP rankings.
A bullish outcome (Over 9.5 games) could occur if Wu performs exceptionally, Djokovic struggles with fatigue or injury, or if the set becomes highly competitive due to aggressive playstyles. An extended rally or tiebreak could push the total to 10+ games.
The bearish outcome (Under 9.5 games) is highly probable due to Djokovic's superior experience, consistency, and higher likelihood of ending the match in fewer games per set. Wu's limited Grand Slam experience and Djokovic's dominance in head-to-head matchups further support this.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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