Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:45:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
-0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -35.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 3 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 3 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 3 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Wu vs. Djokovic Set 3 Games Over/Under 10.5 is highly skewed toward the 'Under' outcome, with a market probability of 0.05%. The match is scheduled for June 29, 2026, at Wimbledon, a tournament where Djokovic's dominance and Wu's lower ranking suggest a likely short set 3.
A bullish outcome (Over 10.5 games) would require an unusually competitive set 3, where Wu's resilience or Djokovic's off-day extends the set beyond 10 games. This could occur if Wu wins multiple games in a row or if Djokovic struggles with his serve, leading to extended rallies and tiebreaks.
The bearish outcome (Under 10.5 games) aligns with Djokovic's historical dominance in Grand Slam matches, where he often closes out sets quickly. Wu's lower ranking and Djokovic's consistency suggest a high probability of a short set 3, possibly ending in a straight-set victory for Djokovic.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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