Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match abandonment due to injury or withdrawal
Calibrated 100% · raw 2495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:28 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
75%
Signal Score
-24.9
Opportunity
18.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,631
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2495.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
18 points
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Jay Dylan Friend in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a high likelihood (75%) of the J.J. Wolf vs. Jay Dylan Friend match totaling 24 or more games, favoring the 'Over' outcome. The resolution hinges on total games played, including tiebreaks, with a 50-50 split in case of incomplete or canceled matches.
J.J. Wolf and Jay Dylan Friend are both aggressive baseliners with high first-serve percentages, increasing the probability of longer rallies and extended games. Tournament conditions in Cary often favor high-scoring matches due to outdoor hard courts and moderate humidity.
Either player could dominate with a strong serve-and-volley game or if one player's groundstrokes consistently dictate play, leading to shorter points and fewer total games. Weather disruptions (e.g., rain delays) could shorten the match duration.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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